Showing posts with label The Eddie 400. Show all posts
Showing posts with label The Eddie 400. Show all posts

Monday, March 10, 2014

Minnesota Twins Power Rankings: March 10, 2014

We've had more than a week of Spring Training games, so we're fully engaged in "get excited about Spring Training stats mode."  We know in our heads that these stats mean less than nothing, but it's nearly impossible to hear about a giant home run or a three-inning scoreless start and not get just a little excited.  It's what separates us from the animals.  Seriously, go find a goat and tell him about Eduardo Escobar's doubles.  That goat won't care at all.  We care.  Let's rank.


Speaking of stats that don't really matter, Mitchell is currently hitting 4.000.  I'm unwilling to cross-check that figure, but it seems that every time Mitchell bats, he hits two home runs.  I won't look that up either.  Regardless of his actual stats (ed. note - .600/.625/1.400 in 8 PA, as of Saturday night), Mitchell is officially the Luke Hughes of 2014 Spring Training.  Mitchell's not a total bum and it would be fun to see him make his MLB debut at age 29, but he obviously isn't this good.  That said, he has performed very well and therefore, he's certainly earned his time in the sun. 

Guerrier faced real hitters this week, a massive step forward in his recovery from elbow surgery last August.  It's hard not to root for Guerrier, as he had some great seasons with the Twins and some really great hair with the Dodgers and Cubs.  Since leaving the Twins, Guerrier has had three decent-to-not so decent seasons.  He's had just a 93 ERA+ since 2010 and he's 35.  Even if he is unlikely to contribute quality innings to the Twins' bullpen in 2014, it would still be very cool to see him successfully complete his comeback.  He is a human, you know.

Last week, Colabello ranked 8th because of his hair.  This somehow lead to me positing that Joe Mauer would fight Ivan Drago to win back his first base job.  Yep.  Anyway, now I want to talk about Colabello as a player.  He's been great this Spring, flexing his power and getting on base.  I'm starting to like the idea of Colabello as a bench bat/back-up first baseman/emergency corner outfielder.  The Twins don't have much right-handed power and Colabello certainly has right-handed power. 

If the 5th outfielder job comes down to Colabello and Chris Parmelee, I might prefer Colabello.  Normally, I like the younger player, but I feel that I've seen enough Parmelee at this point.  Of course, Parmelee is out of options, so that actually works in his favor.  Parmelee is a far superior defender, so that works in his favor even more.  Plus, Parmelee can play first too.  You know what?  I'm not sure how I feel.  Can we keep them both?  Can we, Dad?

Guerra may always be haunted by the fact that he was the most enticing piece of the failed Johan Santana trade.  He hasn't lived up to the promise he held as an 18-year-old, but then, most of us don't.  Last year, Guerra only threw 4 innings, but those 4 innings had to be pretty sweet.  Last March, Guerra was diagnosed with a blood clot in his throwing shoulder and it got so bad that he had to be moved to intensive care at one point.  However, Guerra worked hard to recover and managed to throw those four innings in August.  Going into Sunday, Guerra has made two Spring appearances and looked pretty good.  While Guerra will never replace Santana, it would still be great to see Guerra contribute to the Twins' bullpen in 2014.  His ceiling has changed, but he could still have a productive MLB career. 

I'm an idiot.  You already know that, but I confirmed it on Friday in a mailbag I created with my wife.  She asked me who would have a baby this season and I didn't know.  I did some Googling and didn't find anything, so I blindly guessed Gibson because of his age.  Turns out, Gibson's wife literally had their first child a day or two before I made my awesome prediction.  I'm not sure how I missed this news and how I didn't find it when I Googled "Kyle Gibson having a baby," but I realized my mistake on Saturday and felt like an idiot.  Oh well, congratulations to Gibson and his wife on their new baby!  In a way, I totally called it.

Vargas is now getting advice from the guy he keeps getting compared to!  David Ortiz has taken "Baby Papi" under his mighty wing.  It's a fun story, as many hope that Vargas can become the next Ortiz.  Obviously, there is only a tiny chance that Vargas becomes the next Ortiz, but in reality, there was a pretty tiny chance that Ortiz would become "Big Papi" as well.  Vargas is a big human with massive power, but he might be miles and miles from the Majors.  I like prospects because of their promise and the allure of what could be.  The idea of getting a second chance at "Big Papi" is pretty alluring.  I have a feeling that many Twins fans feel exactly the same way.

If you are not familiar with Taylor, the Prospect Octopus, you might not be aware of my affinity for catching prospects.  Well, I'm here to tell you that I love 'em!  Turner was the Twins' third-round pick last June and he's a glove-first catcher and I think I love him too.  Don't immediately think of Drew Butera just because I said glove-first.  Turner is a big man and he hit well in college.  He's getting some tutelage from Terry Steinbach this Spring, according to this report.  Not a bad mentor.  He'll be heading to Low-A Cedar Rapids this Spring.  If you want to see some excellent catcher defense, there are worse places to go than Iowa.  

3.  Eduardo Escobar

Escobar is having a weird Spring.  He's hitting for power, but his OBP is actually lower than his batting average, which is not easy to do.  Mostly everything else is going in his favor though.  Jason Bartlett hasn't hit this Spring and Pedro Florimon hasn't played because of his appendectomy.  Thus, Escobar is getting mad playing time and hitting mad doubles.  I feel strongly that Escobar would be a more productive hitter than Florimon.  I think his defense is roughly as good as Florimon's too.  You know where I'm going with all this...



Of course, this middle infielder might be pushing for a #Danny400 campaign.  Santana has looked great this Spring.  He's been the best hitter of the middle infielders and he's showing off the speed that makes him a natural shortstop and an intriguing prospect.  Last season, I remember hearing Paul Molitor say that Santana was still two years away from the Majors.  Molitor also raved about Santana and how good he could be.  Now, Santana has another fan in Twins' manager Ron Gardenhire.  You can read all about it in Mike Berardino's report.  We all know how fixated Gardy can get with slappy middle infielders.  Of course, Santana could be worth his fixation. 

1.  Johan Santana

The Orioles signed Santana last week, crushing my little child-like dreams.  I really wanted Santana to come back to Minnesota, but it was not meant to be.  Santana chose to sign with a "contender" in the Orioles.  I don't think they will be contending for much of anything, but I can see why Santana would think they were further along than the Twins.  I'm happy for Santana as I just want to see him continue his career.  He's one of my favorite players of all-time and it would be a shame if he threw his last game at age 32.  I hope he makes a full recovery and the Twins sign him next Winter. 

Now that we're all on the same page, we can get back to our Spring Training stats binge.  This week, at least one player will have an epic game and we'll all get unreasonably excited.  That's why we're fans.  Unless you prefer to hang out with that goat we talked about earlier.  That's your problem.  Have a great week, everyone!  

Friday, January 3, 2014

First Mailbag of 2014!!!!!

My one resolution for 2014 is to answer more fake questions.  If someone (me) is going to go to the trouble of asking a question, the least I can do is answer it.  In addition, I'm going to answer the really tough questions that others are too scared to tackle.  In fact, 2014 is the year of answering the tough questions.  I won't be afraid of what the answers reveal.  I intend to get to know myself better through this exercise.  It's going to be quite cathartic and important, really.  Most importantly, we need to get off on the right foot with a really important question.           

What type of food is each Twins player?
 ~ Brad S., St. Paul, MN

We're off!  I'll flesh this out in more detail in the future.  I might even devote a full post to it and possibly create some stupid photoshops.  That said, I'll provide some of the easier answers:
  • Joe Mauer:  Wonder Bread.  Kind of goes without saying.
  • Brian Dozier:  Penne Arrabiata.  Spicy, good-looking, complex, yet traditional and non-threatening.
  • Glen Perkins:  Tremendous Twelve.  Just outstanding, lots of variety, affordable, very filling.
  • Mike Pelfrey:  Burnt Popcorn.  Some people actually like it; the result of taking too much time.
  • Sam Deduno:  McRib.  Bounces between available and not available, saucy, incites excitement, makes some people crazy, not really very good.
Hi-yo.  What do you think the lineup will look like at the beginning of next season?  How about 2015?  Thanks, I'm a huge man.  
 ~ Brad S., St. Paul, MN

That's a very excellent and timely question.  It's possible that the Twins could still add one more position player who could weasel his way into the starting lineup.  Of course, I'm not sure the Opening Day lineup will change much, as our current skipper tends to err on the side of sentimentality/tradition.  Therefore, here is what I expect in 2014:

Alex Presley, CF
Brian Dozier, 2B
Joe Mauer, 1B (still looks weird)
Kurt Suzuki, C
Pedro Florimon, SS

Nothing shocking, and I could see Plouffe hitting ahead of Arcia for those sentimental reasons.  Pinto and Suzuki are in the lineup because I think the Twins like Pinto's bat, but won't trust his defense initially.  Florimon's there, but I don't think he'll be there for long (more on that later).  Presley should hold off Aaron Hicks for a couple months, but I expect Hicks to tear up AAA because I am very irrational about him.  As for 2015, I foresee a couple of changes:

Aaron Hicks, CF
Brian Dozier, 2B
Joe Mauer, 1B
Oswaldo Arcia, LF
Josmil Pinto, C
Trevor Plouffe, DH
Alex Presley, RF
Eduardo Escobar, SS

Obviously, I prefer Escobar to Florimon, Hicks to Presley and Sano to Plouffe.  Unless the Twins sign some free agents, these are the guys who should be on the Opening Day roster in 2015.  I believe Sano will be ready but Byron Buxton will be a midseason entry.  Sano is a better defender than Plouffe and Hicks has better range than Presley (Hicks has a vastly superior RF arm too, but range > arm).  If Eddie Rosario plays like gangbusters upon return from his suspension (and plays in the outfield), he could supplant Presley, but I don't see that happening. 

Which player do you want to see more of in '14?
 ~ Brad S., St. Paul, MN

Take a look at my starting shortstop in 2015.  I want to see much more of Eduardo Escobar next season.  In fact, I'm starting "The Eddie 400" and I won't stop writing/talking about it until it is apparent that Escobar has no chance of getting 400 at bats.  I would love to see Escobar get 400 at bats next season.  I'm not really sure that he's good, but I am quite certain that he can hit at least as well as Pedro Florimon.  Plus, he's two years younger and might be an even better defender.  Even if the Twins are happy with Florimon, I'd love to see Escobar get some starts at 3rd and enhance the team defense. 


Next week, I plan to fully outline "The Eddie 400."  I'll outline all of the reasons why I'm smitten with Mr. Escobar.  I just really hope that someone calls him "Eddie" or this whole thing is quite loony. 

There are rumors that the Twins are interested in Johan Santana.  How does that make you feel?
 ~ Brad S., St. Paul, MN


Don't ruin my New Year, Twins.  Make this happen.

What is the core of the Twins team?
 ~ Brad S., St. Paul, MN

The core has to contain the players who will lead the team to glory.  Guys like Brian Dozier and Glen Perkins are great and nice and super, but they aren't really core players.  Dozier is good, but not great.  Perkins is great, but fills a role that can be filled much more easily than other roles.  So, the Twins core is Joe Mauer, Oswaldo Arcia, Miguel Sano, Bryon Buxton and Alex Meyer.

Obviously, only two of those players have MLB experience.  There is a lot riding on Buxton, Sano and Meyer.  If all three reach their ceilings, the Twins will have an insane core.  If two of three pan out, the core will still be great.  Perish the thought, but if all three crap out, well...let's just not think that way.  That core is excellent, but one more pitcher would be nice.  I'm actively wooing Masahiro Tanaka in my weekly POWER RANKINGS.  Check out my Rankin's here.  Tanaka would be a nice sixth in that core. 

What's your Pelfrey problem?
 ~ Brad S., St. Paul, MN

Ah, nothing really.  He seems very nice and he'll be great at the back of the rotation.  Calling him burnt popcorn will be my final jab at Pelfrey.  At least until he starts pitching.  Then, I might have to start in on him, just to pass the time between pitches. 


Have a great weekend, everyone!

Monday, December 30, 2013

Minnesota Twins Power Rankings: December 30, 2013

Welcome back to another exciting week of POWER RANKINGS.  Oh man, the Twins have been doing mad stuff over the past week, and the only way to truly appreciate their moves is to make an awkwardly ordered list.  Here we have the final POWER RANKINGS of 2013.  It's time to rock...and roll...and rank!

10.  Liam Hendriks

Hendriks didn't even get a chance to play for the storied Cubs franchise.  He was claimed off waivers by the Orioles this past week.  While I did disparage the city of Baltimore for smelling of crab cakes last week, I do think this is a better fit for the 24-year-old starter.  Basically, when the Orioles deal with Grant Balfour went sour, they needed another right-handed Aussie.  Hendriks meets both of those criteria.  Orioles GM Dan Duquette was realistic about Hendriks and stated that he could be a good spot starter if the MLB club needs him.  High praise for a guy with a career ERA over 6. 

9.  Taylor the Prospect Octopus

Wait, who?  If you don't visit Puckett's Pond very often, you might not be familiar with Taylor.  Basically, I was deep-sea diving and I came across an octopus with a bunch of Twins Minor League hats on.  We got to talking and it turns out that he is a prospect enthusiast without the proper fingers and thumbs required to write about them.  He tried podcasting but it just sounded like he was underwater.  Therefore, he and I chat from time to time and I write up his thoughts.  Taylor just finished a 128-player recap of the Twins' Minor Leagues and he is unveiling his top 30 Twins prospects, starting on January 6.  Head to Puckett's Pond to see what all the fuss is about!

8.  Independent Power Hitters

If you're a big, powerful man and also an Independent Ball masher, you might just get a chance with the Twins.  They signed Chris Colabello from the Indys before the 2012 season and now they added another prodigious power-hitting Indy sensation in C.J. Ziegler.  Actually, the Twins bought him from the Wichita Wingnuts, in a move that would make Abe Lincoln roll in his grave.  Ziegler hit 30 home runs with the Wingnuts in 2013, in just 100 games.  That extrapolates to 300 home runs in a 1000-game season.  Think about it.  Ziegler is a mountain of a man at 6' 5" and 245 lb.  He'll probably play first with Rochester and who knows, he could be the next Chris Colabello!  Bulk up, America; you could end up with the Twins.    

7.  Alex Meyer's Students

There was a story circulating this week about Alex Meyer's off-season occupation.  As a former substitute teacher, I salute this young man because subbing is not an easy job. The real winners are Meyer's students.  I've subbed many times and kids are usually stoked to simply have a sub.  However, when the sub is someone "famous" I can imagine extra excitement.  The kids used to love to ask me about my job at the nut and bolt shot, I can only imagine how excited they would be to ask Meyer about his career.  Plus, Meyer is really tall and kids like that.

6.  Alex Presley

With Darin Mastroianni outrighted off of the 40-man roster, Presley has to feel pretty secure with his MLB job.  Presley is the favorite to start the 2014 season in center and he could hold down the job for the season if he plays well.  Personally, I'd like to see Aaron Hicks start 2014 with the job, but almost everyone else prefers that he is forced to retire from baseball and disappear forever.  Even if Hicks defies the odds and wins the starting center field job, Presley will have a roster spot as the fourth outfielder.  It's all pretty win-win for Presley. 

5.  An Article from Twinkie Town

I really enjoyed this article from Andrew Bryz-Gornia:  Radar Mapping the Five Tools.  Basically, he used stats and math to create some cool radar maps that show how 12 different Twins players stack up in the "five tool" categories.  I'll let you read his methods and findings, but I wanted to call attention to the article, in case anyone missed it.

4.  "The Eddie 400"

I'm starting a new campaign for 2014!  I even created a dope logo:


Basically, I'm intrigued with Eduardo Escobar and I would like to assume that at least one person calls him "Eddie."  So, my campaign aims to get Escobar 400 at-bats this season.  Basically, I want to see what he can do with some playing time.  He hasn't gotten consistent MLB playing time in his career.  He's two years younger than Pedro Florimon and a very similar player.  He might be better offensively too.  Plus, he could play third when the Twins face a tough righty and want to save Trevor Plouffe three strikeouts.  If nothing else, the Twins' defense would be great with Escobar on the field.  He might not be worth it, but why not find out?  The Eddie 400; get used to hearing about it from me.

In fact, you can support The Eddie 400.  Copy the image above and make it your Twitter avatar, add it to your blog, or go lo-fi and print it out and cover the windows of your car with it.  Together, we can get Eduardo Escobar 400 at-bats. 

I meant to include Sano in the inaugural POWER RANKINGS last week, but there just wasn't enough room!  Sano was cleared for baseball activity and will not have to have surgery on his throwing elbow.  At least not now.  Yay!  I choose to be 100% optimistic and assume that Sano will never have another injury issue again in his entire life.  Sano could make his MLB debut in 2014.  I'm predicting four home runs in his first game. 

While doing research and analyzing the Twins' 40-man roster last week, I decided to see how impressive Arcia's rookie season really was.  What I found surprised me.  Arcia posted a 102 OPS+ last season and did so in his age 22 season.  I used Baseball Reference's play index tool to find all instances of a 22-year-old or younger posting a 102 OPS+ with the amount of plate appearances Arcia received in 2013.  I just looked at the last 25 seasons, but the number of players was much lower than I was expecting.  In fact, it had only happened 76 times in the past 25 seasons, by just 54 different players.  Nice!  Here's the link.

Now, you can be all cynical and say "oh, Junior Felix is on that list twice, Ben Grieve's there, and is that Gordon Beckham?  Really?"  Or, you can see guys like Ken Griffey Jr., Mike Trout, Roberto Alomar and just start drooling like a baby.  Only four players met this criteria in 2013:  Trout, Bryce Harper, Yasiel Puig and Arcia.  Strong company. 



Please, let me explain.  Tanaka was officially posted last week.  Each of the 30 MLB teams can now mess around with Tanaka to try to woo him to their franchise.  He is the "Belle of the Ball!"  See, the picture makes sense now.  I'm going to be bold and predict that Tanaka ends up with the Twins.  Why?  Because I want it to happen.  Tanaka would probably become the Twins' best starter and would headline a suddenly stacked rotation (objectivity!).  MLB Trade Rumors said that the Twins have interest.  That's enough for me.  I've bought my jersey, cleared a spot for his bobblehead and legally changed my daughter's name to Masahiro. 

Mr. Tanaka, if you are reading this (and come on, we both know you are), I pledge to keep you at number 1 on the POWER RANKINGS until you sign with the Twins.  At that point, I will retire the number one position and simply count from 10-2.  Not only would you make the Twins a contender, but you would save me 10% of the work I put into my POWER RANKINGS.  Do it for the people of Minnesota; do it for me.  Sign with the Twins. 

Also, when you do sign, can you please create and wear an "Eddie 400" patch for me?  Thanks!

Another week, another set of POWER RANKINGS!  We'll just keep countin' it down, week after week.  Frequent visitors to this blog can look forward to some New Years' resolutions and a fresh (fake) mailbag later this week.  I hope everyone enjoys these final fleeting seconds of 2014.  Have a great week, everyone!